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CAN'T PUT THE GENIE BACK IN THE BOTTLE

Today’s news out of Iran isn’t good. “Supreme Leader” Ayatollah Khamenei has unleashed the full force of Iran’s security police and militias against the Iranian people who remain in the streets protesting a rigged election and a repressive regime. They’re using deadly force to suppress the demonstrations and the death toll is mounting rapidly. Verifying the accuracy of reports accompanied by cell phone videos and Twitter messages is difficult, but it’s increasingly obvious that the situation is dire.

As much as Americans would like to see the popular uprising in Iran succeed, that’s not likely right now. Unfortunately, they’re not that well organized, not that well led, and completely out gunned. And despite claims by the Iranian government that the CIA is behind the demonstrations, it’s highly doubtful that President Obama has let the CIA get anywhere near the demonstrators. That’s also unfortunate. The US has a mixed record when it comes to CIA support for opposition groups in countries with governments we don’t like; and the risks are big. Then again, the risks of allowing the current Iranian government to remain in power and on course to produce nuclear weapons are even greater. At least the White House finally rescinded the invitations for Iranian diplomats to attend July 4 celebrations at our embassies overseas.

Nevertheless, Khamenei and his henchmen can’t put the genie back in the bottle. They may win this round, but the theocracy in Iran is ultimately doomed. Iranians, especially women and the young, have had enough of their oppression. They want the same freedoms and democracy Muslins in Turkey and now Iraq have. They’ve been paying close attention to what’s been going on in Iraq. People laughed when Bush claimed the seed of democracy would take hold in Iraq and spread across the region. We’ll see who has the last laugh.
 
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THE RIGHT SIDE OF HISTORY

No one, not even the protesters on the streets of Tehran, knows how the popular uprising in Iran will turn out. The Iranian people, who have had enough of the oppressive theocracy that runs Iran, are up against the formidable forces of an autocratic police state. Regardless of the outcome, however, the protesters and everyone who supports them is on the right side of history.

We’ve seen all this before many times in the capitals of Eastern Europe, Moscow, Manila, Beijing, and elsewhere. It doesn’t always end well. Shouts and hastily drawn posters are no match for bullets and tanks. What tips the scales in favor of freedom and democracy is the contagiousness of the desire for them burning in the hearts of those who take to the streets to demand them. If enough people catch the fever, no government can stand against them. Support from free peoples around the world is the medium by which that contagion spreads. Whether you twitter, email, or just express that support when you talk to your friends, I assure you, Iranians on the streets will feel it.

What President Obama should or shouldn’t say about the uprising is for his national security advisors and experts on Iran to debate. It certainly wouldn’t hurt, however, for him to take his cue from Ronald Reagan who figured out how to support the dissidents while dealing with the Soviet government. Regardless of what our government does, however, those of us who believe in freedom and democracy should do whatever we can to support the Iranian people who are risking their futures and their lives. This opportunity may not come around again any time soon
 
Read my weekly columns and my current daily comment at http://ewross.com
Previous EWRoss Dailies http://ewross.com/EWRoss_Daily.htm
Previous EWRoss weekly columns http://ewross.com/archive.htm
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